Francesca Pace vs Natsuho Arakawa Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Arakawa has a slightly better recent second serve win rate of 41.61% compared to Pace's 40.27%.
• When it comes to returning second serves, Arakawa has the edge, winning 53.51% of opponent second serve points against Pace's 49.49%.
• For first serve returns, however, Pace performs better with a 31.11% win rate over Arakawa's 27.53%.
• Under pressure, Arakawa has proved more resilient, saving 45.87% of breakpoints, while Pace has saved 36.09%.
• In terms of overall match performance over the last year, Pace has a win rate of 57.89% versus Arakawa’s 45.45%.
• Considering surface performance, Arakawa and Pace both perform best on Hard surfaces, with a win rate of 45%, though Pace has more wins on Clay at 51%.
• Comparing tournament levels, Pace has a slightly better success rate, winning 55.88% of matches in lower-tier events compared to Arakawa’s 44.74%.
• Pace has faced tougher opponents on average, with an opponent rank of 364.7 compared to Arakawa's 401.77.
• In deciding sets, Arakawa is stronger, winning 63% compared to Pace's 45%.
• Arakawa converts breakpoints at a higher rate (40%) than Pace, who converts at 38.05%.

Editorial Prediction (May 15, 2025, UTC):

The statistics suggest that this match could be quite competitive, but several key indicators favor Arakawa. Despite Pace having a better overall win rate over the past year, Arakawa edges ahead in crucial areas such as breakpoint conversion and crucial set wins, showcasing resilience under pressure.

While Pace performs better against higher-ranked opponents and excels on clay, Arakawa's superior performance on hard surfaces combined with their effective return game and stronger performance in deciding sets gives them a strategic advantage.

Could Arakawa's adeptness in converting breakpoints and enduring in deciding sets tip the balance? It seems so, suggesting that Arakawa is likely to come out on top in this encounter.